companies / NASDAQ
NVIDIA
GPU + platform designer. Owns the Rubin spec and DGX brand.
近 30 天股價
市值 $4.66T
最新估值
## Notes (comps_pe — market-EPS-anchored) ### Headline - Implied: **USD 201.51 / 257.18 / 324.93** (low / mid / high) - Reference: USD **215.33** → mid upside **+19.4%** - Peer median Fwd P/E CY26E: **38.81x** (AVGO 34.9, AMD 50.3, MRVL 42.7, INTC 30.3) - NVDA CY26E EPS anchor: **$6.63 (market-implied = spot ÷ consensus Fwd P/E 32.5x)** ### EPS reconciliation (critical step per project rule) | Source | Value (CY26E) | |---|---| | Market-implied (215.33 ÷ 32.5) — **CHOSEN** | **$6.63** | | Top-down rev × margin (Rubin platform build) | $4.54 | | Divergence | **−31.6%** | Top-down diverged > ±20% → triggered the MU-precedent rule that anchors to market-implied EPS. Top-down retained as sensitivity-only input. Rubin volumes are rumor/low confidence per `shipment_forecasts.confidence`, so the bottom-up understatement is expected; Street numbers fold in IR-validated guidance. ### Interpretation NVDA trades at **32.5x consensus** vs **38.8x peer median** — i.e. at a ~16% discount to its AI-semis peer group despite owning the entire Rubin platform stack (GPU/CPU/NIC/NVLink primary 99% across all three variants). Closing that gap drives the +19.4% mid upside. ### Caveats - Peer freshness: AVGO/AMD/MRVL/INTC fresh 2026-05-22 from weilab DB. TSM/ARM are stale_estimate (not in `stock_quotes`). - Consensus Fwd P/E 32.5x is a Bloomberg BEst aggregate; if Street is wrong, the market-implied anchor is wrong. - Rubin shipment forecasts are rumor/low confidence — top-down upside is meaningful only if those volumes materialise. - Peer set is AI-accelerator focused; broader semi inclusion (TXN, QCOM) would compress the multiple toward 25-30x.
看歷史估值 →在 BOM 上的位置
- 1°Rubin GPU die· 99%
- 1°NVLink-6 switch tray· 99%
- 1°Vera CPU die· 99%
- 1°ConnectX-9 / BlueField NIC· 99%
- 1°Rubin CPX GPU die· 99%
- 1°NVLink-6 switch tray· 99%
- 1°Vera CPU die· 99%
- 1°ConnectX-9 NIC· 99%
- 1°Rubin Ultra GPU die· 99%
- 1°Vera CPU die· 99%
- 1°ConnectX-9 NIC· 99%
- 1°DSX-ready accelerated compute racks
- 1°DSX Exchange telemetry and operations fabric
- secondaryFactory-integrated high-density rack module
- 1°DSX Exchange telemetry and operations fabric
題材歸屬
在 research 中被提到
- MI455X Helios 機架——AMD 第一個正面對打 NVL72 的 rack-scale 系統
## 為什麼 Helios 是 AMD 的反擊起點 MI300X 雖然在 2024 拿到第一波 AI 訂單，但只是 8-GPU 單機方案，沒辦法跟 NVIDIA GB200 NVL72 那種 rack-scale 系統正面比。CES 2026 AMD 公開 Helios 機架 + MI455X，才是第一次有 **整櫃** 可以擺出來和 NVL72 站同一個維度比較——同時也預告 2H …
- Rubin 液冷供應鏈——AVC、Cooler Master、Jentech、Delta 誰拿到什麼
…CPC 與 Stäubli 是兩家美國主力。 3. **CDU（冷卻分配單元）**——把熱量從機架排到設施側冷水迴路，是高功率的核心硬體。 ## 冷板：DigiTimes 點名的四家台廠 DigiTimes 2026-03-18 報導 NVIDIA 已把 Rubin 冷板訂單分給： - **AVC 奇鋐 (3017.TW)**——既有 GB200 冷板主力，份額預估 35–40%。 - **Cooler Master / 訊凱**——非上市，份額預估 25%。 - **…
- Rubin NVL576 的 CPO 光通訊鏈——誰在做什麼
…GPU 的單一 fabric 已經超出銅線在 224 Gbps 訊號完整性的物理極限。要在不犧牲頻寬與延遲的前提下擴張 NVLink 域，光通訊是目前唯一可行解。傳統可插拔光模組（pluggable optics）功耗太高、面積太大，所以 NVIDIA 直接跳過 pluggable，押 Co-Packaged Optics——也就是把光引擎 (optical engine) 直接封裝到 NVSwitch ASIC 旁邊，省下 retimer、降低功耗。 ## 供應商分工 …
- NVIDIA Vera Rubin — 平台與三條 SKU 線
## Rubin 是什麼 NVIDIA Vera Rubin 是接續 Blackwell Ultra（GB300）的下一代資料中心 GPU 平台，預定 2026 年下半年量產。GPU die 由 TSMC 以 N3P 製程代工，並繼續使用 CoWoS-L 進階封裝；…
- Google TPU v8 / v9 供應鏈拆解（Sunfish / Zebrafish 與第九代展望）
- NVIDIA 59.5 萬片（60%；其中 51 萬片 TSMC、8 萬片 Amkor / ASE / SPIL） - **Broadcom 15 萬片（15%）**——其中分給 Google TPU 的是 **8.5 萬片 TSMC + …
- 光聖科技 (6442.TWO)：從光纖被動元件到 CPO 矽光子主動光源
…[CMoney 光聖法說, 2026]。產能利用率 2025 年下半年達 100% 滿載 [vocus 光聖法說會, 2026-03-13]。 值得 weilab 收錄的原因有兩條：一是它以高芯數光纜在資料中心 scale-up 端切入 NVIDIA、Google、Meta、Microsoft 等大型客戶；二是轉投資合聖科技直接卡位 CPO 架構裡唯一的「主動光源」(ELS) 與光纖陣列 (FAU)，等於同一家公司同時站在被動與主動兩條 CPO 關鍵供應鏈上。 ## 2.…
財報 highlight
| 期別 | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | EPS | 毛利率 | 營益率 | YoY | QoQ | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q2 | $81.62B | $0 | — | — | 0.0% | — | +85.20% | +19.80% | yahoo-finance2 |
| 2026Q1 | $68.13B | $0 | — | — | 0.0% | — | — | +19.51% | yahoo-finance2 |
| 2025Q4 | $57.01B | $0 | — | — | 0.0% | — | — | +21.96% | yahoo-finance2 |
| 2025Q3 | $46.74B | $0 | — | — | 0.0% | — | — | — | yahoo-finance2 |
法說 / IR events
競爭對手
相關公司
在 BOM 上跟該公司同列出現的廠商 — 可能是同層 supplier、補位 source、或客戶端，不一定是競爭關係。
新聞 timeline
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